Amedspor vs Konyaspor 17.10.2026: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Amedspor and Konyaspor enter this clash on noticeably different trajectories. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five outings, while the visitors have managed only a single win over the same span. Yet a closer look at the underlying numbers reveals a curious discrepancy: Amedspor’s goal tallies have consistently outpaced their expected goals, whereas Konyaspor have struggled to convert chances into goals despite creating decent opportunities. This contrast between results and creative output makes the tactical setup and finishing efficiency central to the outcome.

Amedspor

Amedspor have won three and drawn two of their previous five matches. During that run they scored 14 times, conceded seven, and never tasted defeat. Recent results are particularly eye-catching: a 2‑2 draw with Gençlerbirliği, followed by a 3‑2 victory over Beşiktaş and a thumping 5‑0 win against Başakşehir. At home, the team have swept all three of their most recent fixtures — besides the Beşiktaş and Başakşehir games, they also beat Trabzonspor 2‑1. That home record is a clear strength, but the scoring numbers need to be treated with caution. In those three home matches, Amedspor netted ten times from a combined xG of roughly 3.16. Their actual finishing has far exceeded the quality of the chances created, so repeating that level of output is far from guaranteed. Against Gençlerbirliği they fired 19 shots and carved out two big chances, yet only scored twice; versus Beşiktaş they registered 21 efforts and an xG of 1.97, again finding the net three times. The hosts routinely get on the scoresheet, but their results currently run ahead of their underlying attacking metrics.

Konyaspor

Konyaspor’s recent record reads one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five matches. They have scored just three goals and conceded the same number: goalless stalemates with Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa, a 2‑2 draw with Palestine, a 1‑0 win over Trabzonspor, and a 1‑0 loss to Erzurumspor. In their last three outings the visitors have avoided defeat, yet their attack remains blunt. Against Başakşehir they did not register a single shot on target and, despite an xG of 0.85, failed to score. In the Erzurumspor game they generated an xG of 1.97 and attempted 14 shots, but again left the pitch without a goal. This illustrates a persistent gap between the chances they produce and the goals they actually score. On the road, in the two available away fixtures this season, Konyaspor have drawn 0‑0 and lost 1‑0, failing to find the net in either. In the upcoming match they will need to sharpen their finishing if they are to exploit the fact that Amedspor have conceded in every game of this recent stretch.

Statistics and Trends

Amedspor have scored in all five of their most recent matches, while Konyaspor have failed to get on the scoresheet in three of their last five. Meanwhile, the hosts have conceded seven goals, but their opponents have accumulated a combined xG of about 9.12 over those games: the quality of chances they have allowed suggests their defence has been more porous than the raw concession numbers indicate. For Konyaspor, the picture is reversed in attack — in the matches with available data, their total xG stands at roughly 4.63, yet they have scored only once. The seasonal averages also highlight a contrast in firepower: Amedspor are averaging 2.43 goals per match, Konyaspor just 0.57. Amedspor’s home form is strong, while Konyaspor’s away outings have so far lacked goal threat. That said, the hosts’ apparent goalscoring edge cannot be taken at face value because their recent conversion rate is unsustainably high relative to the chances they create.

Prediction and Bet

Amedspor approach this match on a stronger run of results: unbeaten in five games and winners of all three recent home fixtures. Konyaspor tend to draw frequently but struggle to score, especially on the road where they have drawn a blank in both of their away matches so far. The hosts generate chances, but their recent finishing has been well above their total xG, so expecting another high‑score display is not well founded. On the other hand, Konyaspor’s three‑match unbeaten streak and the shaky finishing of both sides make a bet with a safety net more sensible than backing a comfortable home rout. The primary prediction is Amedspor not to lose. The hosts’ home record and their overall unbeaten run across the last five games support this choice, while the visitors’ low scoring output reduces their ability to capitalise on any weaknesses in Amedspor’s defence.

Forecasters widely expect both teams to find the net and the home side to take all three points. Every available prediction on the “both teams to score” market points to an exchange of goals, and all opinions on the match outcome favour a home victory. The prevailing consensus therefore combines goals at both ends with a win for the hosts.