Antequera vs Águilas 29.10.2026 2:0: Score, Result & Match Stats

In their most recent league outings, both Antequera and Águilas experienced late drama—the former salvaging a point with a 95th-minute equalizer, the latter conceding in the 94th minute and throwing away a win. Antequera arrives at this Copa del Rey fixture winless in four matches, while Águilas have gone six without a victory. The question is: which side can finally break its frustrating streak?

Tactical Analysis: Antequera

Antequera currently sit on 11 points from nine games in Primera Federación, with two wins, five draws, and a goal difference of 14:13. Under manager Abraham Paz, the team has shown solid form at home—victories against UD Ibiza (3:2) and Real Jaén (2:0), along with draws against Alcorcón and Cartagena (both 1:1). Across four home matches, they have scored seven times and remain unbeaten at the El Maulí. However, defensive lapses have crept in lately.

Following back-to-back draws with Sant Andreu (2:2) and Cartagena (1:1), Antequera fell 2-3 to Real Madrid Castilla. Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 away stalemate with Huesca, where the equalizer came from a 95th-minute penalty. Moha Bassaley’s initial spot-kick was saved, but a retake was ordered after an infringement by the home side. Destiny stepped up and converted his sixth league goal of the season. Another key contributor in attack is Adrià Gène, who has netted three times. Defender Drake remains sidelined with a knee injury. Paz places significant importance on the Copa del Rey and hopes the support of the home crowd will push his team into the next round.

Tactical Analysis: Águilas

Águilas are playing their debut season in Primera Federación after promotion from the fourth tier. Adrián Hernández's side have managed just seven points from nine games and sit in the relegation zone. Their sole victory came on September 12 against Real Madrid Castilla (1:0). Since then, the visitors have recorded three draws and three defeats. Their away form is particularly concerning: four road matches have yielded eight goals conceded and only three scored, with no clean sheets.

In their last league game, Águilas were minutes away from a win against Teruel (1:1). Mario Abenza opened the scoring in the 17th minute, and Javi Castedo struck the crossbar twice. But after failing to capitalize on those chances, they conceded a stoppage-time equalizer. Hernández admitted that his side lacks consistency and the ability to close out matches. An additional blow is the continued absence of Chris Martínez, last season’s top scorer, who has yet to feature this campaign due to injury. The coach has hinted at rotation for the cup tie, though most of the starting XI from the last matchday are expected to keep their places.

Predicted Lineups

Antequera: Pol; Corral, Alcántara, Maffeo, Etxebe; J. García, Mekkour, Luismi; Gène, Destiny, M. Bassaley.

Águilas: Lucho; Verdú, Carlos Pomares, J. Soriano, Moyano; J. Castedo, Pipo, Fernández, Parada; Mario Abenza, Dani Calvo.

Referee

The man in the middle for this Copa del Rey clash has yet to be officially announced, but the match will be overseen by an official from the Spanish Football Federation’s roster.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Antequera to Win (odds 2.07)

Antequera remain unbeaten at home and have scored in every match there this season. In contrast, Águilas have failed to win any of their four away games, conceding eight goals in the process. The hosts possess a more prolific attack, with Destiny in fine form. Moreover, Águilas have repeatedly faltered in decisive moments and haven’t tasted victory in six league matches. Backed by their home supporters and armed with greater offensive firepower, Antequera should claim the win. We assess the probability of this outcome at 55%—anything above 1.82 is considered a playable value.

Total Goal Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals (odds 1.75)

In three of Antequera’s four home league matches, no more than two goals were scored. Similarly, three of Águilas’ four away games finished with fewer than 2.5 goals, and the visitors have never netted more than once on the road. Antequera are likely to exploit defensive frailties in the Águilas backline, but in recent weeks they haven’t built up large scorelines. The visitors also struggle with finishing, so a high-scoring affair seems unlikely. We put the chances of under 2.5 goals at 65%—anything above 1.54 offers playable value.