Gaziantep
KasımpaşaBy Wale Oni — Football expert: CONCACAF U20, CPL, Copa Argentina, Chinese leagues
On 6 November 2026, Gaziantep and Kasimpasa meet in a fixture that contrasts a home side in poor recent health with a visitor enjoying a much stronger run. Gaziantep come into the game after a sequence of disappointing results, while Kasimpasa have won three of their last five and taken points in four of those matches. The head-to-head record is more balanced, but the difference in current form is pronounced.
Gaziantep arrive with a poor five-match run: one win and four defeats. The lone success was a 4:0 away victory over Etimesgut, but it was followed by a 1:3 loss to Erzurumspor and a 0:2 defeat against Trabzonspor. Across that sample they scored six goals and conceded ten. Their two most relevant home fixtures both ended in defeat, 1:3 and 0:3, with the home attack managing just one goal and the defense shipping six.
Chance-creation data adds nuance. In the four matches for which xG figures are available, Gaziantep averaged about 1.44 xG but scored only twice, so their actual output fell well below the quality of their opportunities. Defensively the pattern reverses: an average xGA of roughly 1.41 was accompanied by ten goals conceded, meaning their results were worse than the chances they allowed. In the latest game against Trabzonspor they took 13 shots, failed to score and recorded 0.78 xG.
Kasimpasa have been far more stable over the same period: three wins, one draw and one defeat. They drew 2:2 with Besiktas, beat Corluspor 3:1, edged Eyupspor 1:0 and overcame Samsunspor 4:1. The only loss was a 1:3 reverse against Galatasaray. They scored 11 and conceded seven, finding the net at least once in four of those five matches.
By overall scoring, the visitors look more convincing: their season average is 1.5 goals per game, compared with 0.9 for Gaziantep. Their recent xG figures varied: 1.19 against Besiktas, 0.71 against Eyupspor, 1.46 against Samsunspor and only 0.52 against Galatasaray. They scored 11 goals while their combined xG in those games was about 5.07, so part of their return came from finishing above the quality of the chances created. Away from home they split their results: a 1:0 win at Eyupspor and a 1:3 loss at Galatasar
The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.
Gaziantep and Kasımpaşa are hardly the Süper Lig’s idea of a footballing superpower, and I won’t pretend otherwise. Even so, I’m confidently backing Over 2.5 at 1.86.
The match is scheduled for 06.11.2026 at 18:00 in the Süper Lig.
Kasımpaşa have won three of their last five and taken points in four of those matches. Gaziantep have one win and four defeats in their last five.
Gaziantep have one win and four defeats in their last five, scoring six goals and conceding ten across that sample.
Their two most relevant home fixtures both ended in defeat, 1:3 and 0:3, with just one home goal scored and six conceded.
In four matches with xG data, Gaziantep averaged about 1.44 xG but scored only twice. Defensively they averaged about 1.41 xGA but conceded ten.
Kasımpaşa's away results in the source are split: a 1:0 win at Eyüpspor and a 1:3 loss at Galatasaray.