Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne 31.10.2026: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

On October 31, 2026, Guingamp welcome Saint-Étienne in a tie where the two sides arrive with sharply differing runs of form. The hosts have been trading wins and losses, while the visitors are striding through an unbeaten stretch. Since the match takes place on Guingamp’s turf, the outcome depends heavily on their home consistency and Saint-Étienne’s effectiveness on the road.

Tactical Analysis: Guingamp

Guingamp have managed two wins in their last five outings, but have also suffered three defeats. They lost 0-1 to Nancy and 1-2 to Pau, then bounced back with a 2-0 away victory over Clermont, only to fall 1-3 to Red Star previously. On home soil during this same stretch, their results have been just as uneven: a 2-1 win over Le Mans was followed by losses to Pau and Red Star. The team averages 1.3 goals per match overall, a figure that rises to 1.6 at home, but they concede an average of 1.8 goals in front of their own fans.

The attacking unit carries genuine threat but struggles with consistency when finishing chances. Against Clermont, Guingamp scored twice from an expected goals (xG) of 1.34, while in the loss to Red Star they created opportunities worth 1.8 xG yet found the net only once. The Nancy match saw them produce a mere 0.48 xG without scoring. In their most recent win, Guingamp fired off 11 shots, seven of which were on target, highlighting the potential firepower. However, the defence regularly invites danger: Pau managed an xG against (xGA) of 2.41 and unleashed 19 shots on the Guingamp goal.

Tactical Analysis: Saint-Étienne

Saint-Étienne are in far more commanding form, collecting four wins and one draw from their last five matches. They beat Nantes 1-0, Red Star 1-0, and Rodez 2-0, while playing out a 2-2 draw with Metz. On the road, the visitors defeated Red Star and shared a high-scoring stalemate with Metz. Over this stretch, they average 2.3 goals scored per match and only 0.8 conceded; away from home, those figures shift to two goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

The visitors’ backline looks far more solid than the hosts’ rearguard. In three of their recent wins, Saint-Étienne kept clean sheets, though they did allow Rodez to generate 1.6 xG and Nantes 0.88 xG. The actual number of goals shipped has been lower than the quality of chances they allowed, hinting at some luck but also resilient defending. On the attacking side, their output hasn’t always matched the numbers: they scored once against Nantes from an xG of just 0.28, and twice against Rodez from 0.74 xG. That clinical edge has helped them secure results even when creating limited opportunities.

Head-to-Head History

In five previous meetings between these sides, a staggering 23 goals have been scored – an average of 4.6 per game. Saint-Étienne have claimed three wins, Guingamp one, with one match ending in a draw. Every single one of those encounters produced at least three goals. However, recent form paints a clearer picture: Saint-Étienne have avoided defeat in four of their last five matches overall and kept clean sheets in three of those. Guingamp, in contrast, have lost three of their last five, and at home they have conceded six goals in their last three games on their own patch.

Prediction and Bet

The opening phase could see Guingamp adopt a cautious approach, knowing they need to shore up a defence that has leaked goals at home regularly. The home side are capable of carving out chances, but their results swing wildly depending on whether they take them – in some games they generate a high volume of shots but fail to convert. Saint-Étienne are far more stable, rarely lose, and boast a more reliable backline. Their away form is not flawless in terms of goals conceded, but two recent trips yielded a win and a draw. The primary recommendation for this match is that Saint-Étienne will avoid defeat. That pick is supported by their record of four wins and one draw in recent games, Guingamp’s home losses to Pau and Red Star, and the visitors’ overall edge in the head-to-head series.