Hibernian vs Celtic 25.10.2026: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

On 25 October 2026, Hibernian and Celtic will meet in a Scottish Premiership fixture that sees the hosts arrive in a rut while the visitors are suddenly finding their attacking rhythm. Celtic head to Easter Road on the back of a morale-boosting victory over Celta Vigo, and their scoring and defensive numbers over the recent sample look far healthier than those of the Edinburgh side. Historical meetings have also tended to lean Celtic’s way, which makes the matchup a fascinating test of whether current momentum can outweigh the hosts’ home advantage.

Hibernian’s Stuttering Form

Hibernian enter this match with only one victory, one draw, and three defeats from their last five outings. A 3:0 win over Ross County briefly lifted the mood, but the wheels have come off since then. They lost 0:1 to Kilmarnock, were held to a 1:1 draw by Aberdeen, suffered a 0:1 reverse away to Dundee United, and fell 1:2 to Falkirk. The aggregate numbers across those five games read five goals scored and five conceded, but the underlying trend is far more worrying: in their last four matches, Hibernian have managed just a single draw alongside three losses.

Their home form is especially concerning. In three recent league fixtures at Easter Road, the side has picked up one draw and two defeats, scoring only twice. That record will need a dramatic improvement if they are to trouble a Celtic side with genuine firepower. For a team that usually relies on a vocal home crowd, the current defensive fragility and lack of cutting edge in front of goal are alarming signs.

The Problems Behind Hibernian’s Results

A closer look at the underlying numbers explains why Hibernian are struggling. Against Kilmarnock, they produced twelve shots, seven of which were on target, and created three big chances—only to leave the pitch on the wrong end of a 1:0 scoreline. The Aberdeen game followed a similar pattern: two big chances and nine shots, but just a single goal. Most telling was the defeat to Falkirk, where Hibernian posted an expected goals figure of only 0.67 from ten attempts while their opponents generated 1.5 xG. These numbers point to a team that struggles to manufacture genuinely dangerous opportunities and remains exposed at the back.

Celtic’s Uneven Recent Run

Celtic also have a mixed record from their last five matches, with two wins and three losses, but the character of those results is notably different. They began the stretch by losing 0:1 to Rangers and 1:4 to Benfica, before responding emphatically with a 2:0 victory over Motherwell, a 7:1 demolition of Hearts, and a 2:1 success against Celta Vigo on 22 October. That recent upturn suggests the team is in better shape than their longer-term record might indicate.

Away from home, however, Celtic have shown a hint of inconsistency. Their two away fixtures in this sample produced a 2:0 win at Motherwell and a heavy 1:4 defeat in Lisbon. The Benfica loss shows that the Hoops can be undone defensively when faced with quick and clinical opposition, so Hibernian will hold onto a sliver of hope if they can reproduce a similar level of intensity.

Celtic’s Attacking Firepower

The visitor’s offensive output is built on volume and quality. In the Motherwell game, Celtic unleashed 25 shots, put 15 on target, created two big chances, and finished with an expected goals tally of 3.56. Against Celta, they again registered 22 attempts and carved out two large openings, earning 1.4 xG. The 7:1 annihilation of Hearts was a case where actual goals massively outran expected quality—Celtic’s xG in that match was just 1.49—but the overall averages still paint a clear picture. Celtic have scored an average of 2.56 goals per game in this period while conceding 0.56, compared to Hibernian’s 1.0 scored and 1.56 conceded.

Head-to-Head Context

History offers additional encouragement for the away side. In four of the last five meetings between these clubs, both teams have scored, but Celtic have won three of those five encounters. The past three clashes have all ended with the same 2:1 scoreline in Celtic’s favor, meaning the margins are tight even when the Glasgow side comes out on top. Look at home and away splits, and the gap widens further: Hibernian average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on their own turf, while Celtic average 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded away. Celtic also hold the upper hand in average corner count, total attacks, and dangerous attacks, which bodes well for controlling large stretches of play.

Prediction

The match should unfold with Celtic dominating possession, attempts on goal, and the overall share of dangerous attacks. Hibernian are capable of producing the occasional moment of quality, but their recent home record and inefficient finishing make it difficult to trust them to sustain any kind of offensive pressure. Celtic have won two consecutive matches, scored nine goals in those games, and boast a significant statistical edge across most attacking metrics. At the same time, the head-to-head history suggests these encounters tend to be competitive, so a huge winning margin does not need to be part of the forecast. The main prediction is a straightforward away victory: Celtic to win, backed by superior average scoring, a more reliable defense, stronger away numbers, and three wins in their last five meetings with Hibernian.