Kashima Antlers
Cerezo OsakaBy Tunde Ogundipe — Football expert covering Premier League, MLS, J1 League, and more
Kashima Antlers, the reigning J1 League champions, are enduring a rough patch. After failing to win in their last two league outings, Toru Oniki’s side have dropped precious points and now sit eighth with 20 points. Meanwhile, Cerezo Osaka, mired in crisis, visit Ibaraki hoping to turn their own fortunes around. Can the hosts finally return to winning ways, or will the visitors spring a surprise?
The defending champions have collected 20 points from their first 12 matches, placing them eighth in the J1 standings. Despite their struggles, Kashima have found the net at least twice in each of their last five league games. Their attack remains potent, but defensive frailties continue to undermine their efforts. Oniki’s men concede far too many chances, and those lapses have cost them dearly.
In Round 12, Kashima suffered a frustrating 3-2 home defeat to Kashiwa Reysol. Statistically, the Antlers were the better side: they posted an expected goals (xG) of 1.9 against Kashiwa’s 0.81 and earned nine corners to their opponents’ two. Yet defensive errors turned every Kashiwa attack into a goal. Trailing 1-3, a penalty was awarded against Kashima, but VAR intervened to overturn the decision, sparing them a heavier defeat.
Cerezo currently sit 13th with 14 points, a modest return for a club with ambitions higher up the table. Their league form has been dire—they have not tasted victory in J1 for an extended period. Wins in domestic cup competitions offer little consolation to the board or supporters.
In their last outing (Round 12), Cerezo drew 2-2 at home with Chiba. Once again, they had a disastrous first half, conceding two goals and creating nothing at the other end. After the break, a monumental effort saw them grab two stoppage‑time goals to rescue a point. While the result was a relief, it masked yet another poor performance in the league.
Kashima’s defensive issues are clear for all to see, but their attacking power remains formidable. In midweek, they produced a sparkling 3-0 home win over Pohang Steelers in the Asian Champions League. That confidence boost, combined with Cerezo’s ongoing winless run in the league, makes the hosts rightful favorites. No good news is expected for the visitors when they face the champions. Back a Kashima victory at 1.70.
Total Goals Bet: Kashima average 2.08 goals scored per league match and concede 1.75. Cerezo score an average of 1.05 and ship 1.58. Their respective average totals per game are 3.83 and 2.58. Both teams have been woeful defensively this season, so at least three goals are expected. Take over 2.5 goals at 1.61.
The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.
No user forecasts published.
The J1 League match is on 31 October 2026 at 07:00 (likely JST) at Kashima's home ground in Ibaraki.
Kashima Antlers are the outright favorites, with a predicted win priced at 1.70.
Back a Kashima Antlers victory and also take over 2.5 total goals (odds 1.61) due to both teams' defensive weaknesses.
The reigning champions are in a rough patch: they lost their last league game 3-2 to Kashiwa Reysol and have failed to win in two league outings. However, they scored at least twice in each of their last five league matches and recently won 3-0 in the Asian Champions League.
Cerezo are on a long winless run in J1. They sit 13th with 14 points and have not won a league match for an extended period. Their last game was a 2-2 draw against Chiba after trailing 0-2 at halftime.