Monza
SassuoloBy Tunde Ogundipe — Football expert covering Premier League, MLS, J1 League, and more
Monza have yet to secure a single league win under Ivan Juric, but the Brianza outfit welcome a historically obliging opponent in the fifth round. Sassuolo sit higher up the Italian football pyramid, yet in their last three Serie A meetings with the Lombardy side, they have failed to collect even a single point.
Ivan Juric has instilled a surprisingly bold style in Monza, pressing opponents aggressively in their own half and carving out plenty of chances. The hosts average 1.78 xG per match – the sixth‑best mark in Serie A, ahead of Juventus, Milan, Napoli and Atalanta. However, that attacking output has translated into just one point from four games, leaving them in the relegation zone. The Biancorossi simply lack the necessary quality in the final third, and even Lecce (3‑2) found it easy to exploit space on the counter against them. The main culprit in last round’s defeat to a direct rival was their inability to defend set‑pieces – two headers from corners inside the first 11 minutes.
Injuries have also taken their toll. Riccardo Manzari (Mangash), one of Monza’s key men who contributed goals or assists in three of the first four matches, will miss the game before the international break. Meanwhile, Euro 2020 winner Matteo Pessina remains sidelined, and his absence in central midfield is deeply felt – Akinsanmiro and Folorunsho do well in building attacks but have never been strong at stopping counter‑attacks.
Sassuolo have long carried the reputation of “giant‑killers” in Italy, and it was the Neroverdi who pulled off the biggest shock of the previous round by beating Juventus 3‑2 at home. Against the country’s most decorated club, Alberto Aquilani did not abandon his trademark attacking philosophy, and in an end‑to‑end game, his side proved sharper in the finishing zone. That result extended Sassuolo’s unbeaten run to three Serie A matches, and even in their opening‑day defeat to Atalanta (1‑2), they significantly outperformed the Europa League side on expected goals – 2.74 xG vs 0.86.
The Emilia‑Romagna outfit boast an excellent collection of attacking and midfield talent for a mid‑table side. The absence of last season’s leader Ismaël Koné, who has been in the treatment room since the start of the campaign, is therefore not felt as acutely. However, everything behind that line is more typical of the lower half of the table: goalkeeper Arijanet Muric, who is only good with his feet, and a mediocre defence. After the sale of Tarik Muharemovic, the club’s leading defender became Jay Idzes, but he too is injured and will miss the match.
Monza (3‑4‑2‑1): Tian – Quadio, Lucchèsi, Carboni – Birindelli, Akinsanmiro, Folorunsho, Bakuwe – Colombo, É. Ceballos – Varela Out: Pessina, Ziolkowski, Touré, Manzari (all injured) Head coach: Ivan Juric
Sassuolo (4‑3‑3): Muric – Cinquegrana, Ćaleta‑Car, Leijsen, Doig – Adžić, Matić, Bacolla – Berardi, Esposito, Lauriente Out: Boloca, Pierangeli, Kande, I. Koné, Valukevich, Volpato, Idzes, J. Paz (all injured) Head coach: Alberto Aquilani
Daniele Perenzoni has taken charge of only seven Serie A matches so far. The average number of yellow cards in those games was 3.57. Lately, however, Perenzoni has been slightly more lenient – in only two of his last nine official fixtures did he issue more than three bookings.
Main call – Sassuolo to win at 2.33 Sassuolo have looked outstanding at the start of the season, and such a high price for an away victory over one of the league’s weakest sides is very tempting. They will face a Monza side whose squad is low‑quality by Serie A standards, and Juric’s attempts to implement his trademark high‑press have so far been only partially successful. The Neroverdi are excellent at playing out of pressure and can easily tear apart even superior teams on the counter – just ask the Juventus players. As shown by Monza’s match against Lecce, set‑pieces will also be an effective weapon; Aquilani’s men have scored from dead‑ball situations in half of their Serie A games. Therefore, backing a Sassuolo win at 2.33 looks like the best option.
Goals prediction – Both teams to score at 1.66 This fixture is unlikely to lack goals at both ends. Monza and Sassuolo are attack‑oriented sides ranking in the top six of the league for average expected goals – 1.78 and 1.81 xG respectively. Given that this market has hit in all eight of their Serie A matches combined, a confident pick is both teams to score at 1.66.
The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.
Monza3-4-2-1
Sassuolo4-3-3Monza and Sassuolo have both scored in each of their last five outings. I see no reason for that run to end here — backing both teams to find the net is the straightforward call.
Monza and Sassuolo are set to open the sixth round of Serie A, and I see clear value in backing the visitors for the win. The odds are generous at 2.38, and I’m convinced Sassuolo have the quality to take all three points on the road. On top of that, I’m expecting this to be an open game with goals, so I’m also taking the over 2.5 total.
Monza and Sassuolo both know how to find the net, and this Serie A matchup has all the makings of a high-scoring affair. I’m backing Over 3.5 here, and at 2.95, the price feels generous for two sides that don’t exactly park the bus. These are teams that push forward and create chances, so goals should come from both ends. History and class point to an open game, and I’m confident we’ll see at least four goals on the night.
Monza and Sassuolo both look capable of finding the net here, so I’m backing both teams to score. The visitors have the edge for me, and I see them taking the win, but the hosts should get on the scoresheet too. At 1.62, the bet on goals from both sides feels like the right call.
There’s slim justification to back Monza in this Serie A encounter. Sassuolo are the straightforward pick to claim the victory.
Sassuolo are doing what they always do — kicking off the season with real cohesion and purpose. That’s exactly why I’m on the away win here against Monza.
Monza have been weak and inconsistent, which makes Sassuolo's victory the logical outcome. I'm backing the visitors to secure all three points at a tempting price.
Sassuolo have been consistently superior at generating chances from wide areas this season, and that’s translating directly into corner counts. In match after match, they’re taking more corners than their opponents — a pattern that holds true here against Monza.
That’s why I’m backing Sassuolo to win the corner battle. At 2.37, the odds reflect a mismatch between the market’s view and what we’re actually seeing on the pitch.
Over 3.5 goals is the obvious call in this match. I'm putting my money on it at 2.90 — no doubts.
Monza and Sassuolo are set to open the sixth round of Serie A, and I see clear value in backing the visitors for the win. The odds are generous at 2.38, and I’m convinced Sassuolo have the quality to take all three points on the road. On top of that, I’m expecting this to be an open game with goals, so I’m also taking the over 2.5 total.
There’s slim justification to back Monza in this Serie A encounter. Sassuolo are the straightforward pick to claim the victory.
Sassuolo are doing what they always do — kicking off the season with real cohesion and purpose. That’s exactly why I’m on the away win here against Monza.
Monza have been weak and inconsistent, which makes Sassuolo's victory the logical outcome. I'm backing the visitors to secure all three points at a tempting price.
Monza and Sassuolo both know how to find the net, and this Serie A matchup has all the makings of a high-scoring affair. I’m backing Over 3.5 here, and at 2.95, the price feels generous for two sides that don’t exactly park the bus. These are teams that push forward and create chances, so goals should come from both ends. History and class point to an open game, and I’m confident we’ll see at least four goals on the night.
Over 3.5 goals is the obvious call in this match. I'm putting my money on it at 2.90 — no doubts.
Monza and Sassuolo have both scored in each of their last five outings. I see no reason for that run to end here — backing both teams to find the net is the straightforward call.
Monza and Sassuolo both look capable of finding the net here, so I’m backing both teams to score. The visitors have the edge for me, and I see them taking the win, but the hosts should get on the scoresheet too. At 1.62, the bet on goals from both sides feels like the right call.
The match is on 18 September 2026 at 19:45 local time, but the venue is not specified in the review.
Sassuolo are the favorites according to the prediction, with a win priced at 2.33, while Monza have yet to win a league game this season.
Monza have only one point from four games and are in the relegation zone. Sassuolo are unbeaten in three Serie A matches, including a 3-2 win over Juventus.
Monza are without key players Riccardo Manzari and Matteo Pessina. Sassuolo are missing defender Jay Idzes and several others, but Ismaël Koné has been out since the start of the season.
The main call is a Sassuolo win at 2.33, backed by their strong attacking form and Monza's defensive vulnerabilities. Additionally, both teams to score at 1.66 is recommended, as both sides rank in the top six for expected goals.
Monza play a bold high-press under Ivan Juric but lack finishing quality and are weak on set-pieces. Sassuolo are attack-minded, excellent at playing out of pressure, and have scored from dead balls in half their games.