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Netherlands vs Serbia 04.10.2026 2:1: Score, Result & Match Stats

⚽ Europe UEFA Nations League · Europe · 4 October 2026
Netherlands logoNetherlands
2:1
1st half: 1:1
04.10.2026 19:45
Serbia logoSerbia

Match events

14′
🟨Stefan Gudelj
30′
🟨Strahinja Pavlović
Teun Koopmeiners1:0⚽
31′
35′
⚽1:1Mihailo Cvetkovic
Tijjani Reijnders🟨
45′
49′
🟨Sasa Lukic
Joshua Zirkzee2:1⚽
72′
74′
🟨Nemanja Maksimović
83′
🟨Veljko Paunovic

Match statistics: Netherlands vs Serbia

NetherlandsSerbia
2.98xG (expected goals)1.36
64Ball possession, %36
22Shots14
7Shots on target4
6Corners4
14Fouls13
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
116Attacks74
54Dangerous attacks34

💡 Match preview Netherlands vs Serbia

By Collins Okoro — Football expert specializing in Segunda División and Serie A

The Netherlands national team continues its push to escape the group stage of the Nations League, and Havi’s squad now faces a particularly accommodating opponent in Serbia. The Balkan side has lost each of its last six meetings with teams ranked inside the FIFA top 15, including a defeat to the Oranje just a week ago.

Tactical Analysis: Netherlands Attack

Under Havi, the Dutch remain unbeaten, though they have yet to record a victory against the direct rivals for group progression. Still, draws with Germany (1‑1) and Greece (2‑2) can be counted as positives. In both matches they showed character by fighting back from deficits and outperformed their strong opponents in expected goals (xG). Now they meet a clear group outsider – an ideal chance to add points while Germany and Greece face each other.

As in the first encounter with Serbia (2‑1), the Dutch will lean on their rapid frontline. Cody Gak

Collins Okoro
Collins Okoro
Football expert specializing in Segunda División and Serie A

Collins Okoro has been closely following South American football for over a decade, with a deep focus on the Segunda División leagues of Ecuador, Paraguay, and Peru, as well as Serie A and Serie B in Uruguay. In his analysis, he examines team form, squad rotations, coaching tactics, and fixture congestion to assess match dynamics. His approach to predictions is grounded in statistical trends and roster consistency, avoiding emotional bias.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Probable lineups: Netherlands vs Serbia

Netherlands logoNetherlands4-3-3
Verbruggen
Hatovan DijkJ. TimberFrimpong
ReijndersGravenberchZehihel
LangMerdinkSummerville
Out of squad:Kluivert · InjuryF. de Jong · InjuryMalen · Injuryde Ligt · InjuryWiffer · InjurySchouten · InjurySimons · InjuryBrobbey · InjuryGakpo · Injuryvan Hecke · InjuryDepayWeghorst
Serbia logoSerbia5-4-1
V. Milinković-Savić
TerzicPavlovicErakovicSimicNedelkovic
S. Milinković-SavićStankovicLukicSamardzic
Jovic
Out of squad:Mitrović · InjuryMilenković · InjuryRajković · InjuryVlahović · InjuryPetrović

Match odds Netherlands vs Serbia

Result (1X2)

X7.611.18215.25

Double chance

1X1.02X25.15121.1

Both teams to score

No1.73Yes1.99

Over

21.1131.5442.554.45681.51.072.51.363.51.984.52.995.54.95

Under

24.8532.3241.4751.1461.011.55.552.52.83.51.834.51.325.51.1

Handicap 1

-11.21-21.8-32.94-45.45-1.51.49-2.52.17-3.53.44-4.56

Handicap 2

13.7822.0231.3341.081.52.442.51.623.51.234.51.06

Correct score

0:0240:1411:09.11:113.251:2412:06.752:19.62:2273:06.93:110.53:2284:09.34:1144:2385:015.55:1236:0306:143

Predictions for Netherlands vs Serbia

DN Daniel Nnaji Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 1.98 Pending

The Netherlands–Serbia Nations League clash offers a clear value angle: first-half total over 1.5 goals at 1.98. That’s the bet to get behind here, plain and simple.

H hawksage_507 Under 2.5odds 2.89 Pending

The Netherlands against Serbia in the Nations League—I’m backing Under 2.5 goals here. At 2.89, the price is too good to pass up for what I expect to be a tight, low-scoring affair.

I can’t see more than two goals total in this match. Both sides have the quality to keep it controlled, and the overs are overpriced. Simple call.

KO Kelechi Ojo Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.99 Pending

Both teams to score is my pick here. Serbia have the quality to play and put the ball in the net, and that’s exactly what makes this bet stand out. I expect them to contribute to the scoreline, making the "Yes" on both teams to score a solid call.

FK Femi Kalu Corners: Team 2 over 3odds 2.84 Pending

Serbia’s game plan here is likely built around staying in the contest and avoiding a heavy defeat, which still means they’ll need to push forward enough to pick up set-piece situations. With no expectation of a scrappy, foul-heavy affair, the flow of the match should allow the visitors to get past the three-corner mark without much trouble.

At 2.84, backing Serbia to take over 3 corners looks like the right read for how this one plays out.

SA Stanley Adewale Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.51 Lost

Netherlands are the clear favorites in this Nations League matchup, and the logic is straightforward. Serbia have quality players and can look competitive on paper, but they consistently fail to deliver when it counts — they often seem on the verge of a result before stumbling. That unreliability makes backing them a tough sell, especially away from home.

Netherlands, by contrast, showed real grit in their last game, rallying from 0-2 down to draw in Greece. That wasn't luck; they simply raised the tempo and overwhelmed a solid Greek side. At home, with superior firepower and a stronger squad, they should have enough to win by at least two goals. The handicap of -1.5 at 1.51 looks well justified — a 2-0 scoreline feels about right.

SS Segun Sowole Handicap 1 (-2.5)odds 2.20 Pending

Netherlands are on a completely different level compared to Serbia. This handicap at (-2.5) with odds of 2.20 is a solid value play for a dominant home win.

VI Victor Idris Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.99 Pending

The Netherlands have scored and conceded in seven consecutive matches across all competitions. That streak holds against Serbia — both teams to score at 1.99 is the straightforward call.

PL Peter Lamido Handicap 2 (1.5)odds 2.44 Pending

Serbia with a +1.5 handicap looks like the right call here. At 2.44, the odds are generous for a side that should keep the deficit to one goal or even avoid losing outright.

CE Chukwuma Ekwueme Over 1.5 (2nd half)odds 1.60 Pending
KA Kunle Amadi Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 1.96 Pending

Netherlands will put at least two past Serbia before the break. The Dutch attack is sharp enough to crack the visitors' defense inside the first 45 minutes, so I'm backing over 1.5 goals in the first half at 1.96.

Match poster

Netherlands vs Serbia — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When is the Netherlands vs Serbia match?

The match is scheduled for 4 October 2026 at 19:45.

What was the result of the previous meeting between these teams?

Netherlands won the first encounter 2-1.

How has Serbia performed against top-15 ranked teams recently?

Serbia has lost each of its last six meetings with teams ranked inside the FIFA top 15, including the defeat to Netherlands a week ago.

What is Netherlands' form under coach Havi?

Netherlands remain unbeaten under Havi, with draws against Germany (1-1) and Greece (2-2), showing character by coming back from deficits.

Which player is highlighted in Netherlands' attack?

Cody Gakpo is part of the rapid frontline that the Dutch will rely on.