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New York City vs Toronto FC 01.08.2026 1:1: Score, Result & Match Stats

⚽ United States MLS · United States · 1 August 2026
New York City logoNew York City
1:1
1st half: 1:1
01.08.2026 00:40
Toronto FC logoToronto FC

Match events

6′
🟨Richmond Laryea
Nicolás Fernández Mercau1:0⚽
8′
Talles Magno🟨
11′
Nicolás Fernández Mercau🟨
18′
45′
🟨Jonathan Osorio
45+6′
⚽1:1Djordje Mihailovic
56′
🟨Niklas Dorsch
61′
🟨Jackson Gilman

Match statistics: New York City vs Toronto FC

New York CityToronto FC
2.28xG (expected goals)0.98
50Ball possession, %50
16Shots13
5Shots on target5
3Corners2
11Fouls12
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
66Attacks112
29Dangerous attacks49

💡 Match preview New York City vs Toronto FC

By Tunde Ogundipe — Football expert covering Premier League, MLS, J1 League, and more

In the ongoing MLS regular season, New York City FC welcomes Toronto FC to their home ground. The hosts are locked in a fierce battle for a high playoff seed, while their visitors are mired in a prolonged crisis and languish near the bottom of the standings.

Tactical Analysis: New York City FC

New York City FC currently sits in 5th place in the Eastern Conference, having accumulated 25 points from 17 matches. The squad has found the back of the net 30 times while conceding 23 goals, translating to an average of 1.76 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded per game. In their most recent outings, the hosts secured victories over Chicago Fire (3-1) and Columbus Crew (2-1), though those wins were preceded by a loss to Nashville SC (1-2) and a cup defeat to the same Columbus Crew (0-1).

This potent attacking form allows the club to confidently collect points on their home turf, where they operate from a position of strength. The presence of quality performers in attack compensates for occasional defensive lapses. As a result, the team rightfully finds itself among the conference leaders and is striving to solidify its success.

Tactical Analysis: Toronto FC

Toronto FC languishes in 12th place in the standings, with just 16 points from 17 matches played. The team has scored 23 times but conceded 31 goals, demonstrating weak average metrics of 1.35 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded per match. In recent fixtures, the visitors fell to D.C. United (1-2) but managed draws against the New England Revolution (0-0) and CF Montréal (0-0).

On the road, the squad faces serious difficulties organizing their defense, conceding more than one goal per game. A chronic winless streak weighs heavily on the players, causing the team to frequently drop points under pressure from more organized opponents. Poor finishing in attack only exacerbates the club's already dire tournament situation.

Tournament Motivation

New York City FC is motivated to win in front of their home fans to strengthen their position in the upper half of the table and climb higher. Toronto FC desperately needs points to break their run of failures and attempt to close the gap to the playoff zone. The tournament standings compel both opponents to play for victory.

Squad Situation

In the New York City FC lineup, attacking midfielder Nicolás Fernández Mercau plays a key creative role, having registered 15 goal contributions this season and actively driving the team's attack forward. Due to injuries, the team will be without defenders Thiago Martins, Raúl Gustavo, and Kevin O'Toole, as well as midfielders Keaton Parks and Kai Trevin, whose absences weaken the depth of the defensive unit. Nevertheless, the rotation players available to the coaching staff can cover these positions without a critical loss of creative quality.

For Toronto FC, the main attacking weapon is forward Daniel Salji, who has recorded four goals and three assists in the current MLS campaign. At the same time, the visitors are facing significant personnel problems in their defensive and midfield lines due to injuries to players such as defenders Mateus Pereira and Henry Wingo, as well as midfielder Jonathan Osorio. The absence of experienced starters seriously impacts the reliability of the team's backline. Replacing the sidelined leaders with reserve players inevitably leads to frequent breakdowns and vulnerability under opponent pressure.

Predicted Lineups

New York City FC (4-3-3): Freese; Gray, Chanot, Martins, Amundsen; Sands, Moralez, Rodríguez; Fernández, Magno, Bakrar.

Toronto FC (4-3-3): Johnson; Laryea, Mabika, Rosted, Petretta; Servania, Bradley, Coello; Insigne, Salji, Bernardeschi.

Referee

The match officials have not been specified in the source material.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: New York City FC to win at odds of 1.60

New York City FC performs confidently on home soil and holds an absolute advantage in head-to-head meetings, having won the last five consecutive official matches against this opponent. Given Toronto FC's deep crisis and the visitors' worst defense in the conference, the hosts will take all three points. Our selection: a win for New York City FC at odds of 1.60. We assess the probability of a home victory at 65% (anything above 1.54 is playable).

Total Goals Prediction: New York City FC individual total over 1.5 at odds of 1.72

The hosts average 1.76 goals per match, while the visitors' defense concedes nearly two goals per game (1.82) and regularly collapses under pressure. We also take into account that New York City FC has scored two or more goals in three of their last four home matches. Meanwhile, Toronto FC has conceded at least two goals in three of their last five away games. We are betting on New York City FC's individual total over 1.5 at odds of 1.72. We assess the probability of this total being surpassed at 60% (anything above 1.67 is playable).

Tunde Ogundipe
Tunde Ogundipe
Football expert covering Premier League, MLS, J1 League, and more

Tunde Ogundipe is a football expert with extensive experience analyzing top leagues including the Premier League, MLS, J1 League, Scottish Premiership, and the Johan Cruijff Shield. His analysis focuses on team form, player lineups, shot statistics, and tactical adjustments, with careful consideration of fixture congestion and travel. He approaches predictions with a disciplined, data-driven method, evaluating all relevant factors without overreliance on single metrics.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Match odds New York City vs Toronto FC

Result (1X2)

X4.1511.6325

Double chance

1X1.17X22.28121.24

Both teams to score

No1.99Yes1.71

Over

21.332.1944.41.51.182.51.733.52.774.55.25

Under

23.231.641.151.54.052.52.093.51.364.51.11

Handicap 1

01.21-12.08-24.4-1.52.65-2.55.25

Handicap 2

03.6211.721.141.51.392.51.09

Correct score

0:0150:114.250:2291:07.11:171:214.751:3462:07.92:17.52:214.52:3433:012.53:112.53:2234:0264:1264:248

Predictions for New York City vs Toronto FC

AG Abubakar Garba Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.75 Lost

I believe the home team will win today's match. They are simply the stronger side.

BA Babatunde Adewale Over 2.5odds 1.63 Lost

I confidently predict that New York City and Toronto will easily cover in this game. Their offensive firepower and favorable matchup make this a straightforward bet—both teams are primed to deliver.

KS Kunle Shehu Corners: Team 2 over 3.5odds 1.60 Lost

I'm confident Toronto will get 4 corner kicks. Their attacking style and pressure in the final third consistently force corners, and this match should be no different.

CW Chibuzo Waziri Team 1 over 1.5odds 1.62 Lost

I'm confident New York will score 2+ goals. Their home attack is relentless, creating plenty of chances, and Toronto consistently concedes on the road. New York has the firepower to hit that mark entirely on their own.

CA Chukwuma Adekunle Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.63 Won

I confidently predict a ball exchange. The reasoning is straightforward: the current game dynamics and player positioning make it the most likely outcome.

OA Olusegun Ademola Yellow cards: Over 3.5odds 1.63 Won

I’m confident that nerves will get the better of both of them. The pressure is too intense, and neither has the composure to hold steady—expect mistakes from both sides as a result.

UN Uche Nwachukwu Result: 1odds 1.65 Lost

I'm confident that New York City will beat Toronto on August 1st at 02:30. They're the clear favorites at home, and their form and squad depth give them a decisive edge over Toronto's inconsistent performances. Expect a straightforward win for the hosts.

GS Gabriel Salami Over 3.5odds 2.53 Lost

I’m confident that football is a team sport where the goal is to score more goals than the opponent by kicking the ball into their net, using any part of the body except the hands. It’s one of the most popular sports globally, with countless leagues and tournaments worldwide. Beyond competition, football is a cultural phenomenon that unites people across the globe.

SN Suleiman Nwosu Over 2.5odds 1.65 Lost

I'm confidently backing the home win and over 2.5 goals. The home side's attack is in red-hot form, and the visitors have been consistently conceding on the road, setting up a high-scoring home victory.

CA Collins Adamu Under 2.5odds 2.21 Won

I'm confident this will be a defensive match. Three goals are unlikely here.

KA Kingsley Adewale Result: 1odds 1.65 Lost

I am betting on New York to win against Toronto. Their superior form and matchup advantages make this a clear call.

KM Kelechi Musa Yellow cards: Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.00 Won

I’m confident this will be a tight, hard-fought game between New York City and Toronto. These two always bring out the best in each other, and I don’t see that changing here. The matchup is too close to call easily, so I’m betting on a narrow margin—likely a one-goal difference or a draw.

OE Olusegun Eze Under 2.5odds 2.20 Won

I'm betting on under 2.5 goals. The teams have been struggling to score consistently, and their recent matches suggest a tight, defensive affair rather than a high-scoring one. I see this game ending with a low total.

AT Abubakar Tanko Result: 1odds 1.66 Lost

I'm confidently backing New York City to win this match. Their recent form and home advantage give them a clear edge over the opposition.

VO Victor Okonkwo Team 1 over 1.5odds 1.67 Lost

I'm confident the home team will score at least two goals. Their attacking form has been sharp lately, and the opposition's defense has shown clear vulnerabilities in recent matches. The home crowd will provide an extra boost, and the tactical setup favors aggressive forward play. Expect them to capitalize on scoring chances and put the game beyond doubt early.

BY Babatunde Yusuf Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.39 Won

I see this as a realistic scenario, though it does require a bit of luck. I'm confident in the reasoning, so I'm going for it.

KE Kabiru Emenike Over 3odds 2.08 Lost

I believe both teams will combine for at least three goals in this match. The attacking quality on both sides and the defensive vulnerabilities make an over 2.5 goals bet the strongest play here.

IA Ibrahim Afolabi Team 1 over 1.5odds 1.67 Lost

I confidently predict that the home team will score at least two goals in this match. Their attacking strength and home advantage make this a solid bet.

MB Michael Bankole Result: 1odds 1.65 Lost

I predict New York will win, as always happens between these two teams. The matchup consistently favors them, and I see no reason for that trend to break now.

YO Yusuf Onyeka Corners: Under 9.5odds 1.95 Won

I confidently predict that Toronto will finish the year with an average handicap of approximately 2. The underlying trends and team performance consistently point to this outcome, making it a solid bet.

AI Aliyu Ibe Corners: Over 9.5odds 1.74 Lost

I am confident the teams will spend more time attacking. They will prioritize offensive pressure, keeping the action in the opponent's zone.

BO Babatunde Okafor Corners: Team 1 over 6odds 2.12 Lost

I'm predicting the first team's total corners to be over six. I have full confidence in this team of heroes to deliver on the pitch.

SE Stanley Eze Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.57 Lost

I believe the home team will secure a convincing victory. They have the quality and momentum to dominate and win with confidence.

KB Kabiru Balogun Handicap 1 (-1)odds 2.04 Lost

I’m confident the New York Knicks will beat the Toronto Raptors again. Toronto’s defense has been inconsistent, and New York’s offensive rhythm, especially with Brunson leading the charge, is too strong for them to handle. The Knicks have already proven they can get the job done against this squad, and I expect another win here.

OA Olusegun Amadi Result: 1odds 1.61 Lost

I’m confident the home side will win easily again. They’ve consistently dominated this opponent, and nothing in recent form suggests a change.

TM Tunde Musa Over 2odds 1.29 Void

I'm confident the away team will come out aggressively and surprise the home side today. They'll push forward from the very first whistle, looking to seize control early and catch the hosts off guard.

GL Gabriel Lawal Correct score 1:0odds 7.20 Lost

I confidently predict a 1-0 win as the most likely outcome, with a 23% probability. The chances of a 2-0 victory drop to 6%, and a 2-1 result is even lower at 3%. This points to a tight, low-scoring match where a single goal decides it.

IO Ifeanyi Onyeka Result: 1odds 1.63 Lost

I'm backing the home side here. Toronto is mired in a long winless streak, and the hosts clearly have the upper hand. The form and momentum are all on their side, making this a straightforward call.

YN Yemi Nwachukwu Result: 1odds 1.63 Lost

I'm confident that home advantage will significantly increase the pressure on the visitors' defense. The home crowd's energy and familiar surroundings will force the away team into constant defensive mistakes, giving us a clear edge in this matchup.

KY Kelechi Yusuf Corners: Result: 2odds 3.00 Lost

I'm betting on Toronto to win the corner kick count today. Their aggressive wing play and home advantage consistently generate more set-piece opportunities, while the opponent tends to sit back and concede corners under pressure. The stats back this up—Toronto averages significantly more corners per game in this matchup. I'm confident they'll edge it.

SA Segun Afolabi Over 1.5 (2nd half)odds 1.93 Lost

I'm confidently expecting at least two goals in the second half, and I'm placing my bet on that outcome.

CN Chukwuma Nwosu Corners: Under 9.5odds 1.95 Won

I'm betting on under total corners. These teams rarely take many corners, so I expect that trend to continue in this match.

PM Peter Mohammed Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.65 Lost

I'm confident in this pick today. Between these two teams, the form and matchups clearly favor one side, and there's no reason to overcomplicate it. This is the right call for today.

EO Emeka Obiora Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.65 Lost

I'm confident in taking New York to win with a -1.5 handicap. The statistics clearly support this move.

AN Aliyu Nwosu Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.44 Won

I'm confident goals will come quickly in the New York City vs Toronto match. Both sides are set up to attack, and I don't see this one staying quiet.

IM Ifeanyi Madu Over 2.5odds 1.73 Lost

I expect both teams to perform confidently in this matchup. They have the form and consistency to keep it competitive, so I'm backing them to deliver a solid showing.

AW Aliyu Waziri Corners: Team 1 over 5.5odds 1.90 Lost

I'm predicting that the first team will take more than 5.5 corner kicks. This is a confident call based on their aggressive attacking style and strong home advantage, which consistently drives up their corner count in similar matchups. The data supports this trend, and I see no reason for it to change here.

DO David Okoro Result: 1odds 1.63 Lost

I'm confident New York City FC will beat Toronto. They have the stronger squad and home advantage, and their recent form gives me every reason to believe they'll secure the win.

Match poster

New York City vs Toronto FC — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the New York City vs Toronto FC match taking place?

The match is scheduled for August 1, 2026, at 00:30 local time, with New York City FC hosting Toronto FC at their home ground in the MLS regular season.

What is the main prediction and odds for the New York City vs Toronto FC match?

The main prediction is a win for New York City FC at odds of 1.60, based on their strong home form and Toronto FC's poor defense.

Which team is the favorite to win this MLS match?

New York City FC is the clear favorite, sitting 5th in the Eastern Conference with 25 points, while Toronto FC is 12th with only 16 points.

What is the recent form of New York City FC and Toronto FC?

New York City FC recently won against Chicago Fire (3-1) and Columbus Crew (2-1), but lost to Nashville SC (1-2). Toronto FC lost to D.C. United (1-2) and had draws with New England Revolution (0-0) and CF Montréal (0-0).

Are there any key injuries or absences for either team?

New York City FC is missing defenders Thiago Martins, Raúl Gustavo, and Kevin O'Toole, plus midfielders Keaton Parks and Kai Trevin. Toronto FC is without defenders Mateus Pereira and Henry Wingo, and midfielder Jonathan Osorio.

What is the betting tip for total goals in this match?

A recommended bet is New York City FC individual total over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.72, as they average 1.76 goals per game and Toronto FC concedes 1.82 goals per match.