Rizespor
TrabzonsporBy Wale Oni — Football expert: CONCACAF U20, CPL, Copa Argentina, Chinese leagues
On October 26, 2026, Rizespor hosts Trabzonspor in a fixture where recent trajectories could not be more different. The home side has managed just one win in their last five outings, while the visitors have triumphed in four. Adding intrigue, their previous five meetings have produced no draws, with one team always emerging victorious.
Rizespor’s recent run has been inconsistent, featuring one win, one draw, and three losses over their past five games. They have scored five times while conceding eight, with back-to-back defeats to Fenerbahçe (0-3) and Çorum (1-2) highlighting their struggles. Earlier in this stretch, they managed a 2-2 draw with Göztepe and a 2-0 victory over Eyüpspor. Home performances have been particularly grim, losing to Fenerbahçe and Alanyaspor without a single goal across those two matches. Despite this, they do generate chances—against Fenerbahçe and Alanyaspor, they fired off 13 and 9 shots, creating one and four big moments respectively, yet came away empty-handed. The Alanyaspor game is telling: an expected goals (xG) of 1.50 yielded no payoff. Defensively, cracks show too, as Göztepe created an xG of 2.67 and scored twice.
Trabzonspor arrives in steadier form, having won four of their last five matches while losing just once, scoring 11 goals and conceding three. A three-match winning streak includes victories over Beşiktaş (2-0), KuPS (4-2), and Samsunspor (3-0). On the road, they have impressed with wins at KuPS and Samsunspor, netting seven goals, though a 1-0 loss to Drogheda United shows they are not infallible. Their attack generates quality chances: against KuPS, they unleashed 22 shots and six big moments with an xG of 3.06, while versus Beşiktaş, they recorded 19 shots and 17 key passes. However, xGA figures of 3.01 and 1.90 indicate their defense can be breached. In their latest match against Hearts, they scored twice from an xG of just 0.59, outperforming expectations.
In four of Rizespor’s last five matches, no more than three goals were scored, and the same applies to four of Trabzonspor’s five. Yet, Trabzonspor has netted at least two goals in three consecutive outings, while Rizespor has been blanked in two of their last five. Head-to-head, Trabzonspor has won three of the last five meetings, Rizespor one, and one game saw Trabzonspor triumph on home soil, with no draws. The aggregate goal difference stands at 11-6 in favor of the visitors. This goal data and current form point to a Trabzonspor advantage in outcome rather than a high-scoring affair.
The match might start cautiously. Rizespor, in their home games from this sample, have failed to score and lost both. Trabzonspor has been sharper recently, scoring more and winning four of five, but their opponents have consistently created chances, so a visitor victory is not guaranteed. Rizespor can respond with shots and dangerous moments, but their recent efficiency lags behind xG. Trabzonspor should have more control if they maintain the attacking quality shown against Beşiktaş, KuPS, and Samsunspor. Considering form, away results, and head-to-head history, a bet on Trabzonspor not to lose fits. This is backed by four wins in five, three head-to-head victories, and Rizespor’s poor home record of two losses without scoring.
The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.
I'm backing Trabzonspor to win this Süper Lig clash. The key is Salah—he's going to feel like his younger self again, and that spark will be enough to secure the away victory.
The match is on October 26, 2026, at 17:00 (local time) in the Süper Lig, with Rizespor hosting at their home ground.
The recommendation is Trabzonspor not to lose (double chance X2), based on Trabzonspor's strong form, head-to-head advantage, and Rizespor's poor home record.
Trabzonspor is in much better form, winning four of their last five games, while Rizespor has managed only one win in the same period.
In the last five meetings, there have been no draws. Trabzonspor won three, Rizespor one, and the aggregate score is 11-6 in favor of Trabzonspor.
Four of Rizespor's last five matches and four of Trabzonspor's last five have seen no more than three goals, suggesting a relatively low-scoring affair.
Rizespor has lost their last two home games without scoring a goal, contributing to their poor home record in this sample.