Reus Reddis vs Barakaldo 04.11.2026: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Reus Reddis and Barakaldo meet in the Copa del Rey with contrasting recent stories. Barakaldo compete one division higher and have kept clean sheets in each of their last three matches, yet they have not won away and have scored only once on the road. Reus Reddis have also been inconsistent, although a year ago they managed to get through the first round of the Copa del Rey. The question is whether home advantage can help the Catalans.

Reus Reddis: Home Form Is the Main Concern

Reus Reddis have collected 11 points from nine Segunda Federación fixtures, with three victories and a goal record of 9:12. At home under Edu Albacar, they have won just once: one win, one draw, two defeats, with a 3:6 goal difference. The 1:4 loss to Manresa stands out as especially painful. Their only home victory was a narrow 1:0 against Náxara.

After beating Tudelano 3:1, the team drew twice and then lost 1:2 to Terrassa in the latest round. The Catalans controlled much of the ball but conceded from a deflection and a counterattack. Bruno Calcagno, on as a substitute, pulled one back in the 72nd minute, but an equaliser did not arrive. Late in the game Ali Camara picked up a second yellow card. Even in defeat, Reus Reddis created chances and had spells of initiative. For the cup tie, Albacar intends to use the strongest squad available to him.

Barakaldo: Defensive Improvement, Away Scoring Woes

Barakaldo have 11 points from ten Primera Federación matches, scoring eight and conceding ten. Imanol de la Sota’s side has won twice, but away form is poor: four away games have yielded just one point and a 1:6 goal difference. They lost to Coria 1:4, to Ferrol and Ourense by 0:1 each, and drew 0:0 with Ponferradina.

Defensively, Barakaldo have improved markedly. A 2:0 win over Mirandés was followed by goalless draws with Ponferradina and Pontevedra. In the last round Barakaldo barely allowed their opponent to create chances, but failed to take their own. Álvaro Peña suffered an injury late on. The visitors arrive for the cup tie with three clean sheets, but they have not scored in two rounds. Their superior division does not fully offset their weak away scoring.

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Reus Reddis not to lose at 1.78. Reus Reddis are unconvincing at home, but in their last match against a strong Terrassa side they created plenty of chances. Barakaldo play a division higher, yet in four away matches they have not won and have scored only one goal. The visitors struggle to impose themselves away from home, so the Catalans can at least hold a draw. We estimate a 60% probability (anything above 1.67 is playable).

Goals prediction: Both teams to score – No at 1.77. Barakaldo have kept clean sheets for three rounds and their last two matches ended 0:0. In four away games the Basques scored only once. Reus Reddis also have problems finishing at home – three goals in four matches. This statistical profile points to a scenario without goals from both sides. We estimate a 60% probability (anything above 1.67 is playable).