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Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig 27.10.2026: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

⚽ DFB-Pokal · Germany · 27 October 2026
Rot-Weiss Essen logoRot-Weiss Essen
vs
27.10.2026 18:00
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig

💡 Match preview Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig

By Kunle Bankole — Football expert on Nordic & South American leagues

Rot-Weiss Essen, currently occupying third place in the Third Bundesliga, are set for a rigorous examination by Leipzig, one of the Bundesliga’s strongest sides. The visitors come into the match after two unconvincing league outings, while the “Bulls” have shown inconsistency early in the season. Nevertheless, Leipzig’s considerable class advantage is expected to be the decisive factor in this encounter.

Rot-Weiss Essen: Conversion Issues and Injury Setbacks

Rot-Weiss Essen are pursuing promotion this season and have been in a promising position so far. After 11 rounds in the Third Bundesliga, they sit third, four points behind league leaders Duisburg. However, their last two matches have been unconvincing: a 0‑1 loss away to fellow contender Ingolstadt, followed by a narrow 1‑0 home win over basement‑dwellers Regensburg. Notably, that victory came despite a clear advantage in shots (15‑5) and shots on target (5‑1), highlighting a poor conversion rate—only one goal from 16 attempts on frame.

The personnel situation has worsened recently. Before the Regensburg match, two starters from the Ingolstadt game, Obuz and Telalovic—both attacking players—suffered serious injuries in training. Later, Potocnik also picked up a problem, making his participation doubtful. On the positive side, Buebari is available again after serving a suspension.

Leipzig: Away Form a Concern Despite Dominant Home Display

Leipzig responded admirably to back‑to‑back heavy defeats against Bayern Munich (1‑6) in the league and Real Madrid (1‑4) in the Champions League. In their home match against ambitious Elversberg, Martin Demichelis’ side put in a powerful performance, leaving the opponents little chance in a commanding 4‑0 win. The final score reflected a solid advantage: 13‑5 in shots, 6‑1 in shots on target, and an xG of 2.87 against 0.79. However, ahead of the game with Rot‑Weiss Essen, there is concern over Leipzig’s away form—five consecutive losses in all tournaments with an aggregate score of 4‑19. It must be noted, though, that the opponents in those matches were of a much higher caliber.

In terms of personnel, Gobel (knee), Giu (hamstring), and Ouedraogo (shoulder) were unavailable before the Elversberg match and remain sidelined. Nkunku, who did not make the squad for that league game, is close to full recovery but his participation is still uncertain.

Predicted Lineups

Rot‑Weiss Essen (4‑2‑3‑1): Golz – Kostka, Huning, Alonso, Buebari – Seitan, Pesch – Abiama, Reusig, Brumme – Janssen

Unavailable: Obuz, Telalovic, Geschwill, Menzel, Dardarri (all injured), Potocnik (doubtful)

Head coach: Uwe Koschinat

Leipzig (4‑3‑3): Nyland – Henrichs, Orban, Esteve, Finkgrafe – Reitz, El‑Aznaui, Bandzuzi – Maksimovic, Gomis, Nusa

Unavailable: Gobel, Giu, Ouedraogo (all injured), Nkunku (doubtful)

Head coach: Martin Demichelis

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction

Rot‑Weiss Essen have not lost an official home match this season, but they have yet to face an opponent of Leipzig’s caliber. Their toughest test so far was St. Pauli from the Second Bundesliga. Moreover, their last two outings have been unconvincing, with poor conversion of chances. Leipzig, despite a terrible away record (five consecutive losses across all tournaments), has faced extremely strong opposition—Bayern, Bayer, and Real Madrid. In previous encounters with third‑division sides, the “Bulls” have been dominant: they beat Energie 4‑1 in last season’s cup and defeated Rot‑Weiss Essen 4‑1 in a 2024 meeting. This season, Leipzig already has five official wins by a margin of at least three goals. Therefore, we anticipate a Leipzig victory with a handicap of -2.5, available at odds of 2.21.

Goals Prediction

The hosts will find this match difficult, but they can still hope for offensive success. Although Rot‑Weiss Essen showed poor conversion in their last two games, their overall scoring rate is high, especially at home—12 goals in six home matches and two in the German Cup. Leipzig’s attacking prowess is evident from their 20 goals in seven Bundesliga matches. As an additional betting option, both teams to score is offered at odds of 1.85.

Kunle Bankole
Kunle Bankole
Football expert on Nordic & South American leagues

Kunle Bankole has been closely tracking Sweden's Superettan, Brazil's Série B and C, Finland's Veikkausliiga, and Serbia's SuperLiga for more than ten years. His analytical approach combines detailed study of squad rotations, underlying metrics such as shots on target and efficiency, and contextual factors like travel and fixture density. He builds his forecasts on a methodical assessment of team form, tactical setups, and league-specific trends, avoiding superficial judgments.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Probable lineups

Rot-Weiss Essen4-2-3-1
Golz
BuebariAlonsoHueningKostka
PeschZaitan
BruemmeReisigAbiama
Janssen
Out of squad:Obuz · InjuryTelalovic · InjuryGeschwill · InjuryMenzel · InjuryDardari · Injury
RB Leipzig4-3-3
Nyland
FinkgraefeEsteveOrbanHenrichs
BandzuziEl-EnaouiReitz
NusaGomisMaksimovich
Out of squad:Gebel · InjuryGiu · InjuryOuédraogo · Injury

Match odds Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig

Result (1X2)

X7.211321.17

Double chance

1X4.65X21.01121.08

Both teams to score

No1.92Yes1.77

Over

21.0731.4242.2454.167.71.51.052.51.283.51.834.52.695.54.65

Under

25.832.5341.5351.1661.031.56.72.53.083.51.914.51.365.51.12

Handicap 1

13.5821.8931.2841.061.52.292.51.533.51.24.51.05

Handicap 2

-11.21-21.83-33.08-46.05-1.51.5-2.52.21-3.53.7-4.56.75

Correct score

0:0320:110.750:27.70:37.80:410.50:517.50:6341:0411:113.51:29.11:39.81:413.251:5221:6432:1352:2222:3232:432

To qualify

17.821.05

Predictions for Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig

No user forecasts published.

Match poster

Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig match?

The match is on 27 October 2026 at 18:00. It is a home match for Rot-Weiss Essen.

Who is the favorite to win this DFB-Pokal encounter?

RB Leipzig is the clear favorite due to their significant class advantage over the Third Bundesliga side.

What is the recommended bet for this match?

The main prediction is a Leipzig victory with a -2.5 handicap, available at odds of 2.21. Additionally, both teams to score is offered at odds of 1.85.

How have Rot-Weiss Essen been performing recently?

They have been unconvincing in their last two matches, with a poor conversion rate of chances. Despite a narrow win, they failed to capitalize on many opportunities.

Are there any key injuries or absences for either team?

Yes, Rot-Weiss Essen are without injured attackers Obuz and Telalovic, while Potocnik is doubtful. For Leipzig, Gobel, Giu, and Ouedraogo are injured, and Nkunku is doubtful.

Have these teams met before?

Yes, Leipzig defeated Rot-Weiss Essen 4-1 in a 2024 meeting. They also beat another third-division side, Energie, 4-1 in last season's cup.