Almería vs Real Oviedo 24.10.2026: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Almería has strung together seven consecutive victories, placing them at the summit of the Segunda table. Securing an eighth win in a row would etch a new chapter in the club's history books, yet Real Oviedo is gradually finding its stride and is intent on disrupting the hosts' momentum.

Five Home Wins and 13 Goals Scored

Almería has amassed 24 points from ten outings, with a perfect record on home soil—five wins from five matches, outscoring opponents 13 to 3. However, the 4-2 triumph over Real Sociedad B laid bare defensive vulnerabilities, as the Basques unleashed 21 shots and crafted six high-quality opportunities. Coach Javier García Pimienta has publicly acknowledged these defensive lapses, and the numbers corroborate his concerns: only seven goals conceded against an expected 11.89 xGA. The absence of Chirino due to injury opens a spot on the right for Morcillo, who stepped in last round. In midfield, the injured Vesga is being covered by Jodich and Javi Muñoz. Otherwise, Pimienta has a full complement of options at his disposal.

Wins Return, Away Woes Persist

Real Oviedo occupies ninth place with 17 points, building momentum after victories over Eibar and Ceuta. Their away record is respectable: three wins against two losses, with goals in all five road games—eight in total. Yet the defense tells a different story. On their travels, Oviedo has conceded eight goals, seven of which came in defeats to Sabadell and Eldense. Notably, central defender Carlos Domínguez is the team's top scorer with four goals, but he is suspended for this fixture, weakening their set-piece threat. Veteran Costas will replace him, though defensive cohesion may suffer. Still, with 13 goals spread across nine different players, danger emanates from multiple sources, not just Domínguez. Forwards Ramos and Carlos Fernández are injured, limiting the ability to bolster the attack during the game.

Predicted Lineups

Almería (4-2-3-1): Andrés – Luna, Pulido, Bonini, Lelo – Jodich, Javi Muñoz – Morcillo, Arribas, Sipenga – de la Fuente

• Unavailable: Eli, Vesga, Chirino, Melamed (all injured), Chumi (doubtful)
• Head coach: Javier García Pimienta

Real Oviedo (4-2-3-1): Escandell – Jiménez, Costas, Calvo, Samu Rodríguez – Lashkhab, Aldasoro – Goti, Reina, Enzo Pérez – Mingo

• Unavailable: Cruz, Ramos, Carlos Fernández, Chaira (all injured); Carlos Domínguez (suspended), Brandon Domínguez (doubtful)
• Head coach: Julián Calero

Prediction

Main prediction: Almería has won all five home matches, averaging 2.6 goals per game. The pressing and speed of Sipenga pose a particular threat to Oviedo's shaky away defense. Additionally, Domínguez's suspension disrupts the usual central defensive pairing. Almería should manage to secure a new club record for consecutive wins, though not without effort. Selection: Almería to win at odds of 1.69. We assess the probability at 70% (anything above 1.43 is playable).

Goals prediction: The leader's attack consistently creates chances at home, but their own defense is less reliable, as evidenced by seven goals conceded. Real Sociedad B scored twice against them last time, and Oviedo has netted eight times in five away games. The visitors are capable of scoring even with Almería's home advantage. Selection: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.82. We assess the probability at 60% (anything above 1.67 is playable).