Girona vs Celta Vigo B 24.10.2026: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Girona welcome Celta Vigo 2 to the Montilivi in a fixture that pits the hosts’ commanding home record against a visiting side that scores freely but leaves its own net dangerously exposed. The Catalans have rebuilt their squad depth and are cruising on a confident run, while the Galicians are wrestling with significant personnel headaches that could leave them stretched.

Girona’s Home Fortress

The Catalan outfit has gone five league outings without a loss, collecting three wins and two draws while shipping just two goals. On their own turf, the numbers are particularly impressive: eleven points from six home matches with a goal tally of eleven for and five against. Across their last three appearances at Montilivi, they have piled up seven points, found the net four times, and kept a clean sheet throughout. This mix of attacking punch and defensive reliability makes them a tough nut for a Celta side that has already conceded sixteen times in ten rounds.

The international break has brought back several key figures, with Gil and Fran Beltran shaking off minor knocks. Coach Kike Alvarez now has the luxury of rotating Aspriella, Portu, and Abel Ruiz in attack. Stuani remains a question mark, and Jastin Garcia is still on the recovery track.

Celta’s Attacking Threat and Defensive Frailties

Celta Vigo 2 sit fourteenth in the standings with fifteen goals scored and sixteen conceded across ten matches. In their last five outings, they have netted eight times but also allowed eight goals at the other end. Even in a convincing 4-1 victory over Real Sociedad 2, the opposition managed twenty-three attempts and outperformed them in expected goals (2.33 to 2.15). On the road, the Galicians have managed only one win in four attempts.

Injury concerns cloud the camp: Anjo Rodriguez is sidelined, and Rives’s participation is uncertain. With Arcos and Milla away in Glasgow for Europa League duty, the central defensive trio may lack cohesion. The absence of Arcos could hamper ball progression through the middle. However, Marin, already on six goals, along with the pacey Kiyet and Marcos, can exploit the space left behind Girona’s high defensive line.

Predicted Lineups

Girona (4-4-2):

• Gassaniga
• Morey, Lopez, Frances, Moreno
• Perez, Gonzalez, Beltran, Gil
• Piszczu, Vanat

Unavailable: Jastin Garcia (injury), Stuani (doubtful) Head Coach: Kike Alvarez

Celta Vigo 2 (3-4-3):

• Carrillo
• Olmedo, Meixus, Lopez
• Gavian, Cuenca, Sobral, Capdevila
• Kiyet, Marin, Marcos

Unavailable: Anjo Rodriguez, Somua, Hayat (injury), Rives, Arcos, Milla (doubtful) Head Coach: Fredi Alvarez

Prediction and Bet

The hosts hold a clear edge in squad depth and home performance. Girona can stretch Celta’s reshuffled defensive trio and generate chances from both flanks. With the visitors facing uncertainty over key personnel, a Catalan victory by at least two goals looks likely.

Main prediction: Girona to win with a handicap of -1.5 at odds of 2.00. We estimate a 60% probability of this outcome (anything above 1.67 is worth playing).

Goal prediction: Over ten rounds, Girona have scored seventeen times, with eleven of those coming in six home games. Celta Vigo 2 have conceded sixteen goals but also score regularly—fifteen this season, eight in the last five matches. The hosts’ defense allows an average of 1.6 expected goals against per game, so the visitors should create enough chances, while their own defensive troubles point to a high-scoring affair. We back total goals over 3.5 at odds of 2.21, with a 50% probability (anything above 2.00 is playable).